Contrarian Minded Investor

Believe it or not, Contrarians are not alone in their investment beliefs, although at times it feels like it. It is not easy to be a Contrarian minded investor, in today’s fast-paced and get-rich-quick ideological investment environment.   One of the most difficult aspects of a contrarian strategy is the strategy’s execution.  As  investors, we face uncertainty when we invest our capital.  It represents our savings and our financial security.  An investor suffers the ultimate consequence of an erosion of capital when a bad decision is made.  The success of a contrarian investing strategy requires the investor to go against gut reactions, and …Read more »

Contrarian Investing Books to Read

The Five Rules for Successful Stock Investing: Morningstar’s Guide to Building Wealth and Winning in the Market by Pat Dorsey OVER the years, people from around the world have turned to Morningstar for strong, independent, and reliable advice. The Five Rules for Successful Stock Investing provides the kind of savvy financial guidance only a company like Morningstar could offer. Based on the philosophy that “investing should be fun, but not a game,” this comprehensive guide will put even the most cautious investors back on the right track by helping them pick the right stocks, find great companies, and understand the …Read more »

Robert J. Shiller Investment Philosophy

Robert Shiller

Based on the research and data of Professor Robert J. Shiller, smart investors know that market timing is a key success factor to building and maintaining wealth. Investor genius Warren Buffet made billions by buying the right companies at the right time – when “value screamed”! He wisely avoided the recent ‘tech bubble’ and kept his fortune in tact. “In the short run the market is a voting machine, in the long run it is a weighing machine”. Avoid buying when the market is too expensive and exploit market opportunities.

Defensive Investing Strategy

Contrarian Investing Strategy Four

There seems to be a lot of talk about stock dividends and other fixed income investments.  Dividend paying equities have always been core components of any contrarian’s portfolio.  Contrarians by nature are part-active and part-passive. Before making a stock selection, the intelligent investor should keep two key concepts in mind.  First they should question, whether they are investing or speculating with regards to a purchase that is made.  Secondly they should question, whether a stock selection is good value by fully understanding the concept of margin of safety – the difference in market price versus underlying value. The single most important intellectual development of …Read more »

The low P/E, P/CF, P/D and P/BV Strategy

Contrarian Investing Strategy One

Findings show that companies in which the market has high expectations, as measured by the above ratios, have consistently performed the worst.  The reason is, that a market premium is paid for near term ‘visibility’ on earning prospects.    To evaluate the value of a company, forecasts must be made with extreme accuracy into the future.  We have already discussed this earlier – this is very difficult to do.  Investors and analysts also have confidence and optimism that earnings expectations will be met.  Over-confidence about information and forecasts, a reliance on ‘experts’, and over-optimism leads to a deadly combination. This is something …Read more »