Category: Contrarian Investing Strategies

Contrarian Investing Strategy One

The low P/E, P/CF, P/D and P/BV Strategy

Findings show that companies in which the market has high expectations, as measured by the above ratios, have consistently performed the worst.  The reason is, that a market premium is paid for near term ‘visibility’ on earning prospects.    To evaluate the value of a company, forecasts must be made with extreme accuracy into the future.  […]

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Contrarian Investing Strategy Two

Relative P/E, P/CF, P/D and P/BV Strategy

This strategy looks at relative industry strength.  The lowest P/E companies within an industry regardless of how high or low the general price of the industry group. The advantage of this strategy is that buying the lowest values stocks in each major industry opens a much larger investment universe than just using strategy #1. The relative […]

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The Forecasting Pitfall of Fundamental Analysis

The Forecasting Pitfall of Fundamental Analysis

The Association methodology is ‘contrarian’ because it is quite different than most applications of fundamental analysis. The fundamental analysis technique is generally used by banks, pension funds and the majority of security analysts.  There are different styles of fundamental investing which range from momentum and growth investing to value and contrarian investing. In general, a fundamentalist believes that […]

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Contrarian Investing Strategy Three

Taking advantage of Irrational Behavior Strategy

This strategy is a variation of strategy #1. It looks at relative industry strength and investor sentiment. Indicators Down by 50% off 52 week low Bottom of cycle “Maximum market pessimism” Low relative Price/Earning Low relative Price/Sales Low relative Price/Book Low relative debt-to-equity Interest coverage ratio Cash flow A Contrarian stock  Down by 50% off […]

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Contrarian Investing Strategy Four

Defensive Investing Strategy

There seems to be a lot of talk about stock dividends and other fixed income investments.  Dividend paying equities have always been core components of any contrarian’s portfolio.  Contrarians by nature are part-active and part-passive. Before making a stock selection, the intelligent investor should keep two key concepts in mind.  First they should question, whether they are investing […]

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